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Kathryn Urban

Belarus: Master of the Art of Fence-Sitting

Amid popular protests demanding his resignation, will Belarusian President Lukashenko continue to balance relations with both Russia and NATO, or will economic and political realities force him to finally choose a side?

Great Power Competition in the Arctic

Under the current administration, U.S. Arctic strategy is geared almost exclusively towards the undermining of Russian and Chinese interests rather than the promotion of American ones.

Leadership Strikes Are Not a Sound Counterterrorism Policy

The policy of assassinating organization leaders — a mainstay of U.S. counterterrorism efforts — is insufficient to curbing the spread of terrorist groups or to diminishing the lethality of their attacks.

What’s Next for Hong Kong Protests? Geopolitics Will Drive China’s Response

This summer marks one full year of continuous protests in Hong Kong against encroachment by mainland China. While Beijing will prioritize indirect means of controlling Hong Kong, military force may be on the horizon if China finds appropriate justification.

ISIS Is Not Resurging, but It May Be Evolving

Although ISIS numbers remain well under 2017 levels, recent attacks have demonstrated a new pattern of well-organized, multi-faceted strikes on police and military targets.

Review of Noah Feldman’s The Arab Winter: A Tragedy

Building on a renowned body of work on legal and political theory, Noah Feldman’s "The Arab Winter: A Tragedy" deftly weaves together three case studies: Egypt, Syria, and Tunisia to examine political self-determination during the Arab spring and subsequent Arab winter.

Peaceful Polling: A Case for African Union Action in General Elections

2020 is an important election year for Africa, with citizens voting on important leadership questions in countries as diverse as Burkina Faso, Ghana, and Tanzania. Even as Somalia holds what will be the first election in fifty years, other states, notably Ethiopia and Burundi are already showing signs of an election season marred by violence.…

Are We Witnessing an African Spring?

Anti-Kagame protests are sweeping Rwanda just weeks before the 2024 general election. Taken in conjunction with movements in Uganda and Zimbabwe, Rwandan activism represents the latest iteration of a regional rejection of dictatorial rule.

Silencing the Guns: Promoting Sustained Peace in Africa

As the African Union recommits to “Silencing the Guns” in 2020, the most effective path forward for the organization is to build upon past peace agreements in CAR and South Sudan.

Searching for Diplomacy in Libya

Even as actors in Libya’s civil war push for an end to hostilities, the entrenched economic and geo-political interests of international actors seem to preclude lasting peace. Unless the international community rethinks its priorities, a diplomatic solution may not be possible.

Belarus: Master of the Art of Fence-Sitting

Amid popular protests demanding his resignation, will Belarusian President Lukashenko continue to balance relations with both Russia and NATO, or will economic and political realities force him to finally choose a side?

Great Power Competition in the Arctic

Under the current administration, U.S. Arctic strategy is geared almost exclusively towards the undermining of Russian and Chinese interests rather than the promotion of American ones.

Leadership Strikes Are Not a Sound Counterterrorism Policy

The policy of assassinating organization leaders — a mainstay of U.S. counterterrorism efforts — is insufficient to curbing the spread of terrorist groups or to diminishing the lethality of their attacks.

What’s Next for Hong Kong Protests? Geopolitics Will Drive China’s Response

This summer marks one full year of continuous protests in Hong Kong against encroachment by mainland China. While Beijing will prioritize indirect means of controlling Hong Kong, military force may be on the horizon if China finds appropriate justification.

ISIS Is Not Resurging, but It May Be Evolving

Although ISIS numbers remain well under 2017 levels, recent attacks have demonstrated a new pattern of well-organized, multi-faceted strikes on police and military targets.

Review of Noah Feldman’s The Arab Winter: A Tragedy

Building on a renowned body of work on legal and political theory, Noah Feldman’s "The Arab Winter: A Tragedy" deftly weaves together three case studies: Egypt, Syria, and Tunisia to examine political self-determination during the Arab spring and subsequent Arab winter.

Peaceful Polling: A Case for African Union Action in General Elections

2020 is an important election year for Africa, with citizens voting on important leadership questions in countries as diverse as Burkina Faso, Ghana, and Tanzania. Even as Somalia holds what will be the first election in fifty years, other states, notably Ethiopia and Burundi are already showing signs of an election season marred by violence.…

Are We Witnessing an African Spring?

Anti-Kagame protests are sweeping Rwanda just weeks before the 2024 general election. Taken in conjunction with movements in Uganda and Zimbabwe, Rwandan activism represents the latest iteration of a regional rejection of dictatorial rule.

Silencing the Guns: Promoting Sustained Peace in Africa

As the African Union recommits to “Silencing the Guns” in 2020, the most effective path forward for the organization is to build upon past peace agreements in CAR and South Sudan.

Searching for Diplomacy in Libya

Even as actors in Libya’s civil war push for an end to hostilities, the entrenched economic and geo-political interests of international actors seem to preclude lasting peace. Unless the international community rethinks its priorities, a diplomatic solution may not be possible.